JayTrobec — Weather and Media
Jay Trobec, Ph.D.
Certified Broadcast Meteorologist · Certified Consulting Meteorologist

Local Models

CEAT-Forecast — RRFS Fog Guidance

Research / Experimental

Current RRFS-based fog guidance for Sioux Falls (KFSD), Watertown (KATY), and Aberdeen (KABR), South Dakota, produced by CEAT-Forecast using an adaptation of the UPS Airlines radiation-fog conceptual framework.

The system evaluates forecast temperature and dewpoint, operational crossover temperature (Txover), near-surface moisture, and boundary-layer decoupling to assess whether the environmental ingredients for radiation fog are becoming aligned.

Sioux Falls — KFSD

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Watertown — KATY

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Aberdeen — KABR

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Experimental guidance. CEAT-Forecast is a research and forecast-development system and is not an official National Weather Service forecast. The display is intended to show the evolution of physical fog ingredients rather than a calibrated probability of fog. Model initialization information and forecast timing are shown on each graphic.